Published July 5, 2026

Is Summer a Good Time to Sell Your Home in the Twin Cities? Here's What the Data Actually Says

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Written by Erica Carlson

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Every summer, sellers hear the same pitch: list now, beat the fall rush, cash in while the market's hot. That advice travels well nationally and falls apart the moment you check it against what's actually happening here. So instead of repeating it, here's what the Twin Cities market is doing right now, using this week's numbers.

Where the market stands today

  • Showings per week, per listing ($250K–$500K): 3.51 now, down from 3.89 last week and 4.16 a month ago. A year ago it was 3.81.
  • Total showings, all price points: down 21% from a week ago, down 18% from a month ago, down 9% from a year ago.
  • Inventory: 11,120 homes on the market, up from 10,998 a week ago, 10,691 a month ago, and 10,424 a year ago.
  • Days on market for homes that went pending in the last 7 days: 30.7, up from 25.9 a week ago and 23.5 a month ago.
  • 30-year fixed rate: 6.65%, essentially flat against 6.67% a year ago.
  • Market Meter: 3.78 today, down from 4.52 a month ago and 4.14 a year ago. On the 0 to 12 scale, that's buyer's-market territory (2 to 3.99), not far off stable.

None of that reads as a hot seller's market. It reads as a market that's cooling, with inventory building and buyers taking longer to commit than they were a month ago.

Why this isn't the same story you'll see out of a Florida market

Some seasonal-selling advice is built around "list in summer because inventory is lean." That describes a market where activity holds off through a slow season and inventory tightens right before it picks back up. The Twin Cities runs the opposite direction. Demand surges every spring, inventory builds through summer as that spring activity plays out, and the market cools into fall and winter.

Looking at the Market Meter going back three and a half years, it has peaked every March or April and bottomed out every October through December, dropping as low as 2.04 in December 2025. We're past this year's peak of 6.12 in March and heading down the other side of that curve right now.

So is summer good or bad for sellers here?

Neither, exactly. It's better than what's coming. Even with showings down and inventory up, today's Market Meter reading of 3.78 is still ahead of where the last three Octobers and Novembers have landed, which average out to roughly 3.19. December has run lower still. If that pattern holds, waiting for fall doesn't mean waiting for the market to pick back up. It means waiting for the softest stretch of the year, against more competing listings and buyers who've had months to get pickier.

List now vs. wait until fall

Factor List now (summer) Wait until fall
Market pace 3.78 today, cooling but still active Historically the year's low, averaging ~3.19 in Oct–Nov and as low as 2.04 in December
Buyer demand 3.51 showings/week per listing, down from spring highs but buyers are still touring Showing activity has historically dropped further heading into the holidays
Days on market 30.7 days for recent pendings Tends to stretch further as buyer urgency fades
Trend direction Declining from the March peak, not yet at bottom At or near the annual low
Strategic position Selling into a market that's cooling but still working Selling into the softest window of the year

 

The real cost of waiting

That 30.7-day average matters. A year ago, homes that went pending averaged 26.1 days. That gap is a signal, not a coincidence: buyers are moving slower and being more selective. List now, into a market that's cooling but still active, and you're competing for buyers who are still out there looking. Wait until October, and you're asking a smaller, choosier buyer pool to pick your home out of whatever's left on the market.

What this means for your specific home

Averages describe the metro, not your street. A three-bedroom rambler in Buffalo and a lake home in Delano aren't riding the same curve, and pricing into a cooling market is exactly the kind of decision where a few thousand dollars of strategy separates a sale from a sit.

Want to know what these numbers mean for your specific address? Book a market consultation and we'll walk through your home's real position, not the metro-wide average.


 

Data source: BRIX Real Estate Twin Cities Market Meter and weekly market snapshot, week of July 5, 2026. Historical seasonal figures pulled from the Twin Cities Market Meter chart, December 2022–June 2026.

Categories

Market Updates, Selling
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Erica Carlson

REALTOR | Erica & Scott Carlson | Buffalo MN Real Estate Agents | BRIX

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